Sunday, December 14, 2008
Political Cartoon #3
You can probably expect the rest of them to be from there, because I like the cartoons on that website haha.
I liked this cartoon just because I thought it was kinda funny. Basically it's the Grinch sees a bigger red Grinch labeled *Recession*. The caption at the bottom says, "I got to Whoville before you this year" with the Grinch terrified saying "Dang, I got a big brudder". Basically saying how recession will ruin our Christmas this year rather than the Grinch. The Grinch's dog, Max says "I hear singing", and I only understood that because the Who's in Whoville sang even though they didn't have their presents. So maybe it's stating that people will be happy even with Recession going on? I'm not too sure.
I'm not too sure if I agree with this Cartoon, I feel like it's a bit overexagerated because recently when I went to the mall to go x-mas shopping, it was PACKED, and route 7 to Dulles Mall was a lot of traffic. I imagine the other way to Tysons was as bad. I would think a lot of people are doing shopping so maybe the Recession might not be a problem. Also, we did get a increase in spending on black friday, so many people might not think it is a problem.
Sunday, December 7, 2008
Political Cartoon #2
So this cartoon basically says "SHOP! or the terrorists win" basically saying buy things this Christmas or we all go bankrupt and no one has money and our economy goes down even worse. The stores employees are next to a bunch of Christmas gifts and the woman/consumer can't buy it because she doesn't have enough money to buy all that because our economy right now. So it's also referring that consumers will buy WAY less this Christmas then previous years. Also in the background you can see signs like "BUY!" or "WII" or "DRUG FREE CHINESE TOYS". The market's desperate to make sales.
I don't know if i necessarily agree with this cartoon in some points like, since gas prices are down people are spending less money on gas so they should have extra money in their pockets. Another example is this years black friday was a lot more successful then last years meaning people are still willing to spend. For negative sides you can also view that a lot of major companies are laying off, so even with extra money from gas, people still need to find jobs. People also could have spent more on black friday as Christmas shopping, or even the fact just because this year's Black Friday prices were a lot lower then previous.
So who knows what's going to happen, hopefully we'll have a good economic turn out for Christmas :)
Sunday, November 30, 2008
Political Cartoon #1
Anyways so this is my first political cartoon I find it pretty true to what will come next to our government. I found it on the cagle.com/politicalcartoons website off of MSNBC
So I guess it's pretty straight forward, Obama is looking at the U.S. which is contained with MASSIVE problems located inside the U.S. It Shows that Obama looks really tiny and overwhelmed by all the problems in the U.S. such as Bailouts, Stimulus, Unemployment and etc. And it pretty much sums it all up by the statement "Gross National Problems". I think it's pretty true that Obama will have to face ALL that in his upcoming presidency and it is scary.
I Also found this cartoon and I just found it funny haha. Those darn Detriot Lions!
Wednesday, November 5, 2008
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
Service Blog #3 and the last
So pretty easy simple stuff in the last 3 hours of my service hours so that's about it!
Monday, October 27, 2008
Election Blog #6
As for going with this estimate I believe the electoral voter turn out will be roughly 360-375 Obama to McCain 150-175. My main reasons as for going with that estimate is only based off of googling some sources. Obama also has control of large states with large amounts of electoral votes, such as California, Pennsylvania, and New York. However there are states like Florida or Ohio who are only slightly leaning Democratic that could change republican when the time comes. As for demographics, it's expected for McCain to do well in the mid-west and places like Texas, but big surprises such as the loss of Virginia for the republican side of things. But to assume the leaning states go the ways they lean, that's how I think the election will turn out.
For the popular vote I feel that it'll become around 50-55% for Obama and around 40-45% for McCain. Over the last week or so, McCain as lost the gap between the two of them in the popular vote, letting Obama even reach 10% or 11% at one point, if it continues, I believe it'll remain 5%-10% gap between the popular vote.
...Unless Nader, feels like screwing with the votes and drawing votes from either side, like he did in the 2000 election...darn you Nader! haha
As for the Senate race, I believe Mark Warner will win over Jim Gilmore mainly because that Mark Warner has been ahead in the polls by at least 20-30% in each of them, I don't think there will be a significant input of 20-30 more percent of republican voters for Gilmore coming out of no where!
As for the House races for the 10th and 11th District:
- For the 10th I think it'll become a close race between Judy Feder and Frank Wolf. I think both have a equal chance to win, I've seen much support for both sides and I think it could go down for either with a few percentage difference.
- For the 11th district I think it'll probably be Connolly for the win, I've not heard much or found much info on the race, but I believe he will win because he won the democratic primary vote with a 15% difference and his opponent, Keith Fimian, I've never really heard of to be quite honest haha.
Also yay last election blog post! :) :)
Sunday, October 26, 2008
Current Event #6
As for problems that persist for McCain that is benefiting Obama this whole time is the money Obama has. Obama has had a 3-1 ratio of more money then McCain has this whole election which allows Obama’s campaigning to dominant over his opponent. Many republicans in
As the election closes up, we’ll see how the turn out goes in these states, I hope to see Obama take Colorado for his side, but who knows what will happen. The
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Community Service Blog #2
So this time we had to take polls through the phone, exciting ain't it?
We ended up doing this for 3 hours from around 3pm to 6pm. They gave us some like prepaid verizon phones and we began to call all those people on the list. It was kinda hectic to repeat the prompt they have for you when you leave a voicemail on their answering machine for them...Carrie tried to say it like a robot once...but failed epically haha and ended up just laughing into the answering machine and she was like "WHAT DO I DO?!?!" and I just told her to hang up. Anyways...majority of the people we called were pretty much not at home, so it was kinda easy, mainly because people were still at work. The people who picked up however we either REALLY mean or REALLY nice, which was weird, not really a neutral person. Like one person was giving me a attitude about the poll, and he was like "how are you convincing me to vote for this person?! your not doing a very good job!" and I'm just like, I'm only taking a poll...I'm not doing any convincing to get you to change your vote! Tyler's phone also broke but I don't know why.
Pretty much sums up those 3 hours right there, fun stuff...haha
Monday, October 20, 2008
Election Blog Week 5
Two states who are currently are strongly contested between the parties are Virginia and North Carolina. They were very pivotal because Virginia carries 13 Electoral Votes and North Carolina carries 15 Electoral votes which is a good decent amount. At the moment in VA Barrak Obama is ahead 51% to 44% and in NC Barrak Obama is ahead barely by 48% to 47%.
Virginia in this case has been very different this year. Virginia has always tended to lean Republican in the last few presidential elections, by at least a Margin of 5%, mainly because of southern Virginia always tended to vote Republican. But, this year Obama had put much effort into his campaigning there and the votes are way different then as expected. At the end of March this year McCain had a significant lead in the winning Virginia race, but it then became afterwards contested constantly in a close race up until it's split now.
North Carolina, another state which is very different this election. Alike Virginia, it has always tended to go towards Republican in the last few Elections. This year Obama has also strongly focused on North Carolina and has now pulled a 1% lead as of today. But, this is a close race in North Carolina so we'll see what happens.
I predict that Virginia will go towards Barrak Obama because there's a large margin difference between to the two, although not much, it's enough to last through the election if it sticks. For North Carolina I want to say Obama because his efforts of these last few weeks will help him out. But, since it is only by a 1% winning difference as of right now, it could lean for John McCain, so we'll see what happens! :D
Majority of the information was found on... http://www.electoral-vote.com/ for the updated map of the election on Oct. 20th.
Sunday, October 19, 2008
Current Event #5
As it looks, Obama will have to deal with the Bush Economic Crisis and McCain will have to deal with the over spending with a Democratic Congress called back into special session with the goal of passing a new economic stimulus package. McCain also will however deal with the economic crisis, and both will need to bring balance back to the economy and government through new policies. The new president would also have to deal with their own promises, antiwar groups would press Obama to start the process of ending the war in Iraq, and conservatives would demand tax cuts from McCain. Top advisers said McCain would move quickly to implement the economic agenda he has promised, including tax cuts, business incentives, lower trade subsidies and controls on government spending that he says are bankrupting the country. Obama will have to keep his promise of Change and Hope, but has to deal with the policies that were created in the Bush administration. Obama lastly has his promises such as immigration reform, tuition assitance for college students, and a new ethnics code. People will wonder if he will whether really go with all these ideas if he assumes as the role of the new president. For McCain, he won't be able to slowly react to respond issues, he would have to act immediately on all.
Overall I see that whoever assumes as the new president they will have a very hard time dealing with all issues, and they will be under pressure for every issue that comes up or every issue that is under the minds currently of the citizens of the U.S.
Community Service Blog #1
Our main job was to hand out these flyers to spread the word about the former First Lady of VA that was going to speak at Herndon Elementary. Seemed easy enough right? Yeah it was pretty easy, we drove around handed a bunch on a few cars in parking lots. It was pretty hard to get it posted especially at places that we didnt find out that was a government building until after asking...Like this one really mad and angry woman at the Herndon Community center...she even called a complaint to the office which was bad, but it was ok since the people were at the office and was like it happens. We ended up getting some flyers up at like Bloom and Starbucks, so it was too bad of a first time going to volunteer! :)
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
Election Blog Post #4
Presidential Polls:
-Gallup Polls, October 14th, 2008 Obama leads the poll 51% to 42%, by 9 points difference
-Rasmussen Report Polls, October 14th, 2008 Obama leads 50% to 45%
-Recently the big news is that Obama has had a lead by double digits (by 10) and it's causing McCain to change his campaigning tactics.VA Senate Race Polls:
-Rasmussen Report Senate Polls, September 25th, 2008
Warner leads 60% to 34% Gilmore
-Survey USA Senate Polls, October 6th, 2008
Warner leads 61% to 31% Gilmore
-Since the beginning of the race Warner has also been leading the whole time in polls, Gilmore has not won a poll yet and has always been behind by at least at 20% deficit. As it shows, the polls are consistent and has changed much.
Polls are useful to get the opinion of the public and of who registered voters are going to vote for. Sometimes though it creates changes in votes such as changing people's votes just so one candidate would win. It can also base on determining the winner, but can be incorrect such as the 2000 Election between Al Gore and G.W. Bush when they based Gore as the winner by polls rather not waiting all to the end. But, it is very useful to base on determining how votes change and how the candidates are doing in their campaigning. Overall I think they analyze trends such as Warner's correlation that seems like he will be the winner of the house seat, but I don't think we should rely on polls because they can change very easily in a good amount of time. Like we shouldn't rely on say Obama will win because he has a 10% lead, because that can very well change in 3 weeks
Guess that's all I gotta say!
Monday, October 13, 2008
Current Event Blog Week 4
The article I read this week was the one from Monday October 13th, in the Washington Post called “Obama Up by 10 Points as McCain Favorability Ratings Fall”. This article talks about Obama’s sudden increase in his votes by 10% of all likely voters from recent events. McCain is slipping behind in his votes and now his campaign strategy has changed because of him falling behind.
The recently overall average poll now places Obama at 53% to 43% over McCain from all likely voters for this election. McCain so far now as shown a bit of change in his campaign strategy. McCain now begins to attack Obama rather then expressing his own political views to the public now and using references such as Obama is too “Liberal” or “Risky”. As the article says most republican supporters now feel less supportive or enthusiastic about McCain’s new tactics which has not been shown since before the GOP Convention. With the election in about three weeks, we can’t help to think if this trend that leans to favor Obama will continue or will it balance out again. Also what may be a strong influence in this change of voters is the economic crisis. As a poll came from after the 2nd presidential debate, 53% voters believe the economy is the most important issue and that Obama wins in that issue by 62% to 33%. McCain however still wins on the polls on Foreign Policy. McCain as well did not really gain much influence with describing Obama as a “Risky” candidate, voters say that 55% say Obama is a very safe candidate choice and 45% say he is not. After the 2nd presidential debate voters, by contrast of a poll taken after the 2nd debate, by a quarter many think worse of McCain as a result of debates.
As an Obama supporter, I'm happy to hear this and that it surprises me a lot that it's changed from such a close race to a 10% difference in polls now. I do agree with the rest of these voters on economics is the most important thing right now, and I believe Obama will do a better job with it, I mean if we got a bad economy how can we even answer all the other issues we have! Although I'm happy to see that he is ahead now in the polls, I don't think Obama supporters should rely on a safe win though, 3 weeks is a long time before the actual election day and a lot can change between now and then!
Tuesday, October 7, 2008
Election Project Week 3
The Democratic running for the seat is Mark Warner (former Governor of Virginia) and Jim Gilmore of the Republican Party (formerly also Governor of Virginia).
Mark Warner political background:
- Became Governor of Virginia in 2001 and remained in office as Governor until 2006
- Majored in Poli Sci at George Washington University with a J.D. from Harvard Law.
- Spoke at the DNC in 2008 as the Keynote Speaker
- Allowed the single largest investment into K-12 education when governor
- In '04, Warner worked with Democratic and liberal Republican legislators and the business community to reform the tax code, lowering food and some income taxes, and increasing the sales and cigarette taxes.
Jim Gilmore political background:
- Attorney General in 1994 to 1998 and Governor of Virginia from 1998 to 2002 (which Mark Warner succeeded him as Governor in 2002)
- Gilmore campaigned on the twin promises of hiring 4,000 new teachers in public schools and phasing out Virginia's car tax.
- When Gilmore was elected, He won winning 56% of the vote to Beyer's 43%.
- Gave a try for running for president this year in '08 but dropped out on July, 14 2007 believing he could not raise enough money
For main issues at stake for this Senate election are; the Radical Centralist Coalition, and that Mark Warner believes that the coalition will increase the cooperation in congress. Mark Warner also believes alternative energy is a big emphasis while Jim Gilmore supports offshore drilling alike John McCain and President Bush. Another strong issue is the tax increase in 2004 for Virginia.
So far in *all* polling Warner has been ahead in *ALL* by a substantial amount to a 50-60% comparison to a 30% that Gilmore gets from the polls. The most recent one by Rasmussen Reports on September 25th, 2008, Warner has 60% to a 34% Gilmore.
Seems like Warner's going to win the election easily if the polls correspond to the results of the actual votes this year!
Monday, October 6, 2008
Current Event Week 3 Post
As the statistics say in the article, this year the most substantial amount of new voter increase was Florida, who had 600,351 new voters this year. Out of all of those voters, 53% are registered as Democrats, 21% as Republicans and 26% independents. As of new voters for other states such as North Carolina, Colorado, Nevada, and New Mexico, all new voters have registered as 50% or above as democrats. But, besides a substantial amount of new democratic registered voters, the newly registered republicans amount has dropped. In North Carolina, 208,000 voters have registered democrat, and only 34,000 new voters are registered as republicans. 208,000 sure feels a lot bigger then 34,000. The main new set of voters in North Carolina is mainly minorities, at first at the beginning of the year, North Carolina white voters out numbered African-Americans 4 to 1 and Hispanics 10 to 1. Now this year there are new 146,000 registered voters in North Carolina of African-Americans and Hispanics, which is ¾’s of the amount of the total of new white voters. In Virginia, Obama volunteers rise up higher and there are 310,000 new registered voters since the beginning of this year. Even though we cannot determine what party affiliation all these new voters are (because Virginia does not require you to state it), there has been a 10% increase in democratic voters in many democratic counties in Virginia.
Hopefully things will turn into Obama's favor, and I'm definitely looking forward to vote in November since I'm turning 18 before the voting day and I just registered to vote this weekend! :)
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
Election Blog Week 2
A State issue that I view important is probably immigration laws. I understand that we have many illegal immigrants in our country, and that they have become part of our economy and as well have their own part in our system now. I feel in my situation and how I stand on this has got to be somehow including already illegal ones into our country, but also start putting up more laws to prevent more influx of illegal immigrants. Because for one you cannot just have like an exodus of all illegal immigrants in our country because too many have molded into our economy, they take many of the low paying, no experience required jobs that a lot would not do. Without them we would not obtain the benefits of any of those services. But, I do think that by including the illegal immigrants that way into our society as citizens, we can avoid the conflict of them dodging taxes and other things.
So as for the debate I viewed, I thought both candidates did a very good job at providing their input of information. There seemed to be no crucial winner, both had many strong points and I would say equal points to counter act each other. Now I am an Obama supporter, but I still viewed McCain's reactions to Obama's ideas as valid different ideas or another way to do it, even though I do not neccessarily agree with those ideas. Although both brought up really good points, I viewed as a speaker Obama did a better job. It could be just Obama might be a better public speaker then McCain is and it just felt he kind of reaches out to you, rather then just stating facts like McCain. Obama also whenever he refers to something toward McCain or speaking to McCain he actually turns and looks at him directly. When McCain spoke about Obama or toward him he still faced forward. It seemed like McCain wanted to avoid confrontation with Obama involving eye to eye contact. Obama also seemed as a very attentive listener during this debate, as McCain would talk Obama would face him and seem very active in listening. McCain however had a tendency to look down a lot when Obama stated his points. I mean McCain could have been listening and probably was, but the actions of what he looks and does can mean different, I mean looking down at a paper with no eye contact might throw a person off. As teachers sometimes say "At least look at me while I'm talking and act like your listening at least". At the end what I liked about them both was they both did make a few jokes and laugh a bit which is always pleasing!
As for the media and how they did, I viewed that they did a good job with camera angles of course. Shows a different perspective as how the other candidate might respond to the other candidate or how they're are listening, showing many examples of how a candidate approaches the other. As for other types of media such as T.V. ads, I think they all try to persuade you to the candidate they are doing the ad for obviously, but also I think it reaches to the public more then any other source because T.V. seems more conventional now a days for someone to get information rather then other types of media. Also I view ads can always catch a person when they are not even watching something about politics in general, it can get them involved.
And I gotta say, It was very hard to watch that whole hour and a half of it...It was very forced...haha
Thats all I had to say about this debate! :D
Monday, September 29, 2008
Current Event Week 2
After reading this article I can say that this will help our economy out a lot if it's passed but as it says in one point in the article, this is won't be a immediate change and isn't a cure for our recessing economy, it is only a matter of a step to fix our economy. It's a main focus between both our presidential candidates on this economic crisis and I hope that which ever one gets elected can help fix it! Or else...you know...we'd be kinda screwed! haha
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Current Event #1
After discussing several current events in class today, I've found many different views of articles other people have found, but I viewed the one that effects me the most was mine, which was about Obama moving on more campaign efforts into Florida, which was an article in the Washington Post on Sunday (21st). I viewed that this was an important because I support Obama.
Closing up his campaigning here in Virginia and Washington D.C., Obama told the people at his fundraiser last Friday about moving on to Florida for further campaigning. Florida has been viewed as a battleground state in the last view elections and here's a few points on why he's focusing in Florida.
- Obama views it's 27 electoral votes very important and it would be nice addition for him to win in the electoral college.
- Al Gore in the 2000 election dropped his campaigning in Ohio to focus more in Florida, the outcome of that election as we remembered had a recount in Florida and decided the winner which Al Gore lost.
- In the 2004 election Senator John Kerry focused more in Ohio in his campaigning whether then Florida, John Kerry did not win Florida or the election that year as we know, so the loss of Florida contributed to Kerry's loss in the election.
The facts line up that Florida plays a crucial factor in the last few years and if the trend sets, it should be another crucial state to aquire. Obama hopes to influence about 600,000 unregistered African-American voters in Florida to vote for him as well as other young adults who are unregistered voters. Obama also wants to focus on influencing the Jewish and Cuban communities in Florida which is a good amount of the population. He stresses on them to influence their communites to support Obama.
Obama has placed about $6 million dollars in campaigning in Florida and as well as $8 million dollars in commercial ads in Florida since this summer. But, McCain has done barely any campaigning or any active rolls in Florida up until this current week and is still ahead in the polls, but just barely. But, this makes you wonder, will Obama change the people of Florida's minds on who they're voting?
Both sides of the election are in Florida this week speaking the public so we'll see if that changes anything with some new polls and will see if it pays off on election day!
Good Luck to both candidates!
Sunday, September 21, 2008
Bah!
I thought I got it by reverting it to the classic blog template and it worked, but no more add-on's and etc....so guess no music for Ronny's blog then! :(
If you got some advice tell me! :)
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Week 1 Election Blog
I support Obama in this election because I believe many of the things he wants to do if he becomes president is the right thing. Obama wants to focus on Energy Independence meaning to not battle oil companies like McCain and republicans but rather search for an alternative, and to have people drive more hybrids, and find other sources of energy such as more funding to use safe nuclear power. McCain also believes in finding alternatives and supports driving more hybrids but the difference is that he wants to directly battle oil companies. Obama also supports in focusing federal support to families in financial need, and to give children an ability to have a better education because college tuitions are sky rocketing. Obama, focuses on the economy in America. McCain similarily wants to support for the families in need however wants to focus on a free market economy and focuses on international trade more.